Backlog in ophthalmic surgeries associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in Ontario 2020.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the volume of deferred ophthalmic surgeries in Ontario associated with the COVID-19 pandemic from March to December 2020 and suggest strategies and time required to clear the backlog. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Ontarians eligible for the Ontario Health Insurance Plan in 2017-2020. METHODS: Backlog and clearance time for ophthalmic surgeries associated with the COVID-19 pandemic were estimated from time-series forecasting models and queuing theory. RESULTS: From March 16 to December 31, 2020, the estimated ophthalmic surgical backlog needing operating rooms was 92,150 surgeries (95% prediction interval, 71,288-112,841). Roughly 90% of the delayed surgeries were cataract surgeries, and a concerning 4% were retinal detachment surgeries. Nearly half the provincial backlog (48%; 44,542 of 92,150) was in patients from the western health region. In addition, an estimated 23,755 (95% prediction interval, 14,656-32,497) anti-vascular endothelial growth factor injections were missed. Estimated provincial clearance time was 248 weeks (95% CI, 235-260) and 128 weeks (95% CI, 121-134) if 10% and 20% of operating room surgical capacity per week were added, respectively, based on the weekly ophthalmic surgical volume in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: Ontario data demonstrate that the magnitude of the ophthalmic surgical backlog in 2020 alone raises serious concerns for meeting the ophthalmic surgical needs of patients. As the pandemic continues, the accrued backlog size is likely to increase. Planning and actions are needed urgently to better manage the collateral impacts of the pandemic on the ophthalmic surgical backlog.

Use of virtual care in ophthalmology in Ontario, Canada in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the use and trends of virtual care in ophthalmology and examine associated factors in a universal health care system during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Ontarians eligible for the Ontario Health Insurance Plan. METHODS: We used physician billing data from 2017-2020 to describe the use of virtual versus in-person care. We used logistic regression to examine factors associated with virtual care use. RESULTS: The uptake of ophthalmic virtual visits increased immediately following the government's directive to ramp down clinic activities and institution of a new virtual fee code (17.6%), peaked 2 weeks later (55.8%), and decreased immediately after the directive was lifted (24.2%). In March-December 2020, virtual visits were higher in female (11.6%) versus male (10.3%) patients and in patients <20 years of age (16.4%) and 20-39 years of age (12.3%) versus those aged 40-64 years (10.8%) and 65+ years (10.6%). Patients residing in the poorest/poorer neighbourhoods (10.9%) had similar use as their counterparts (11.1%). Patients with an acute infectious disease (14.2%) or nonurgent diagnosis (16.2%) had the highest use. Those with retinal disease had the lowest use (4.2%). Female ophthalmologists (15.4%) provided virtual care more often than male ophthalmologists (9.9%). Ophthalmologists aged 60-69 years (13.1%) provided virtual care more often than any other age groups (<40 years: 11.3%; 40-49 years: 11.0%; 50-59 years: 10.0%; and 70+ years: 7.7%). Multiple logistic regression models revealed similar results. CONCLUSION: Virtual care in ophthalmology increased significantly during the initial phase of the pandemic and decreased thereafter. There were significant variations in virtual care use by patient and ophthalmologist characteristics.